T20 WC S/F Qualification Scenarios: IND Could be Eliminated if AUS Win by 41 Runs or More And… – News18

The race to the semi-finals of the T20 World Cup 2024 is certainly heating up and Group 1 has turned out to be a feisty lot of teams with each member having a chance of a spot in the next stage of the tournament.

This occurred after Afghanistan managed to shock the world and create an upset in the tournament by beating the mighty Australia by 21 runs at the Arnos Vale Stadium in Kingstown.

Now the Aussies will take on India while Afghanistan takes on Bangladesh as part of their final game of the Super Eights and the outcomes of these fixtures will decide how each side’s future in the tournament will pan out.

Check out the possible scenarios below:

Can India be Eliminated from the T20 World Cup 2024?

Despite winning both their games in the Super 8, the Indian team led by Rohit Sharma are still in danger of suffering a shock exit from the tournament. They would have to lose against Australia convincingly and Afghanistan could come in if they can beat Bangladesh by a massive margin to take their net run rate above India’s. If Australia win by 41 runs or more while batting first, or 32 balls or more left while chasing, they will move ahead of India. And if Afghanistan beat Bangladesh by 81 runs or more, Afghanistan could possibly pip India to the second spot, thus knocking out India.

Is Australia in Danger of Getting Knocked out?

The mighty Aussies are truly in danger of a Super 8 exit in the ongoing tournament. For Australia to be knocked out, they would have to lose their upcoming game against India which gives either Afghanistan to take the second spot with a win or Bangladesh could come in and snatch the remaining spot on net run-rate.

How can Afghanistan reach the semis?

For the Afghans to create history and take them into the T20 World Cup 2024 semi-finals for the first time, there are two possible scenarios. In an ideal scenario, they would want India to take down Australia and possibly by a big margin. This would mean that Australia would have just two points. Afghanistan would then have to beat Bangladesh to secure four points and qualify.

Another possible situation is if Australia beat India, then Afghanistan would have to beat Bangladesh convincingly to get their net run rate above the Aussies.

How can Bangladesh finish Top 2 in Group 1 Super 8s?

Bangladesh despite losing their first two games, remain in the hunt. For a top 2 finish, they would first hope that Australia lose against India by a margin of 55 runs or 41 balls. Then the Bangla Tigers would have to secure a win in their final game against Afghanistan by 31 runs or 23 balls.

To summarise, each team has to essentially win their final Super 8 game, by a massive margin if possible to account for the net run rate. The tournament has certainly gotten spicier as we head into the business end.

What if IND vs AUS gets washed out?

If India’s final Super 8 game against Australia gets washed out then both teams would get a point each, resulting in qualification for India with five points while Australia would finish with 3. But if Afghanistan win their game against Bangladesh the former would be on 4 points taking them above Australia at second position and thus qualifying for the semi-finals.

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